This is how I conclude the opening section of Chapter 1 of Interrogating Memory: Film Noir Spurs a Deep Dive Into My Family History…and My Own (publication TBD): I also learned that by 1920, Pennsylvania was the 2nd most common American state for the last name “Berger” (14%), behind only New York (23%),[i] which meant … Continue reading Walter Mondale, Perry Mason and George Floyd
Category: Presidential nominations
Biden vs. Trump: The view from three months out
On November 3, 2020, the presidential election between incumbent Republican Donald J. Trump and his Democratic challenger, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden, Jr., will mark the end of a weeks-long electoral process. Three months ago, I analyzed all publicly-available polls of the presidential election—nationally and by state, recognizing presidential elections are determined by the … Continue reading Biden vs. Trump: The view from three months out
Dispatches from Brookline: Home Schooling and Social Distancing X
I have described elsewhere how my wife Nell, our two daughters—one in 4th grade and one in 6th grade—and I were already coping with social distancing and the closure of the public schools in Brookline, Massachusetts until at least May 4, 2020. Besides staying inside as much as possible, we converted our dining room into … Continue reading Dispatches from Brookline: Home Schooling and Social Distancing X
Dispatches from Brookline: Home Schooling and Social Distancing V
On Wednesday, March 25, 2020, Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker issued an executive order extending the closure of all public schools in the Commonwealth until at least May 4, 2020. In four previous posts (I, II, III, IV), I described how my wife Nell, our two daughters—one in 4th grade and one in 6th grade—and I … Continue reading Dispatches from Brookline: Home Schooling and Social Distancing V
2020 Democratic primaries on March 17, 2020: My final polling update
[Update, 4:02 pm EST on March 17, 2020: Ohio did postpone its Democratic presidential primary, though all votes cast early will still count toward the final result--and will be extended until June 2, when in-person voting will occur. Swayble (C+ rating from FiveThirtyEight.com) released polls of the four states scheduled to hold primaries today. The … Continue reading 2020 Democratic primaries on March 17, 2020: My final polling update
2020 Super Tuesday contests: My final polling update
[Ed. note: A few hours after I published this, a complete set of Super Tuesday polls was released by Swayable (C+) and Data for Progress (B-/C+), as well as a Spry Strategies poll (C-/D+) of North Carolina. I did not update each state's final WAPA, though I did update the projected distribution of pledged delegates.] … Continue reading 2020 Super Tuesday contests: My final polling update
2020 South Carolina Primary: How did my final polling averages fare?
Given the extremely volatile polling for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination now that voting has commenced, I will not provide global monthly updates for the next few months. Instead, I will focus on the first handful of primaries and caucuses: Iowa on February 3, New Hampshire on February 11, Nevada on February 22, South Carolina … Continue reading 2020 South Carolina Primary: How did my final polling averages fare?
2020 South Carolina Primary: Final Polling Update
From 7 am to 7 pm EST on February 29, 2020, polls will be open in South Carolina for that state’s Democratic presidential primary. This election follows similar contests in Iowa and New Hampshire in which United States Senator (“Senator”) from Vermont Bernie Sanders and former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg fared very well, … Continue reading 2020 South Carolina Primary: Final Polling Update
2020 Nevada Caucuses: How did my final polling averages fare?
Given the extremely volatile polling for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination now that voting has commenced, I will not provide global monthly updates for the next few months. Instead, I will focus on the first handful of primaries and caucuses: Iowa on February 3, New Hampshire on February 11, Nevada on February 22, South Carolina … Continue reading 2020 Nevada Caucuses: How did my final polling averages fare?
2020 Nevada Caucuses: Final Polling Update
At 10 am Nevada time (1 pm EST) on February 22, 2020, Nevadans who did not already vote between February 15 and 18 by submitting a ranking of their three top choices to be the 2020 Democratic nominee will gather in nearly 2,100 meeting places to support their preferred candidate(s). While about 84,000 Nevadans caucused … Continue reading 2020 Nevada Caucuses: Final Polling Update
Just Bear With Me... 